Has the Premier League Lost its Edge? Why the World’s ‘Best League’ Feels Like a Sideshow

For years, the Premier League was untouchable — a whirlwind of pace, power, drama, and unpredictability driven by billion pound broadcast deals.

It was football’s gold standard: the envy of the world, the most watched, most talked about, most thrilling domestic competition on Earth. But something’s changed. And if you’ve felt underwhelmed this season, you’re not alone.

This campaign — billed as one of the most open in years — has felt like the least compelling in memory. The title race was a two-horse procession that petered out early.

The relegation battle fizzled out weeks ago with all 3 promoted clubs unable to compete for a second successive season.

For a league sold on chaos and last-day drama, it’s all gone eerily quiet.

Is this just a one-off? Or could be the start of a shift?  One that could have major consequences for the future of English football.


A League That’s Losing Its Meaning

When Manchester United and Spurs both field weakened sides in the Premier League to prioritise the Europa League, something’s off.

The idea that domestic fixtures — once the heartbeat of a club’s season — are now mere stepping stones to bigger continental stages and Champions League riches is worrying.

And next season, with 6 (Six) English teams qualifying for the Champions League, that competitive edge may dull even further. Mid-week European games will increasingly be the focus.

What used to be an elite reward is now within reach of half the “big” clubs. Where’s the drama in that?

More worryingly, it invites complacency. Once a club is nestled into 4th or 5th place what’s left to fight for? Mid-table clashes in April feel increasingly like pre-season friendlies in intensity. The Europa League once looked down upon is now more important than the bread and butter of Premier League fixtures.


The Rise of Competing Priorities

Looming over all of this is the expanded Club World Cup. A new global cash cow. And for top teams, a massive payday. In 2025, Chelsea and Man City will represent the Premier League in the revamped competition — potentially pocketing more than they could from an entire domestic campaign.

If a club is already guaranteed Club World Cup participation, Champions League revenue, and endless international tours… what motivation remains to win away at Burnley on a rainy Wednesday?


Will the Premier League Eat Itself?

The Premier League’s success has long been tied to its commercial model: 20 clubs, fairly distributed broadcast revenue, and universal interest in all 10 weekly fixtures. But cracks are appearing.

If fans start switching off because the season is effectively over by March — what happens to Sky and BT subscriptions? What happens to overseas broadcasters who paid billions to air a product that’s increasingly short on drama?

There’s a real risk of saturation — of football fatigue, of a bloated calendar, and of an uncompetitive league failing to meet its own hype.

And when revenues wobble, the power clubs will start asking questions.


The Man Utd Question — and the Super League Whisper

Here’s the blunt truth: Manchester United cannot afford to miss out on Champions League revenue. The club is a commercial juggernaut with a bloated wage bill and eye-watering levels of debt to service.

If they lose to Spurs in the Europa League final and miss out on the Champions League prize pot for another season, how long will they resist looking at the current Premier League distribution of broadcast revenues?

There are only so many dinner ladies to sack and paper clips to count before more serious structural questions are asked. Do Manchester United deserve the same broadcast share as Bournemouth or Fulham?

That’s the conversation looming. The idea of equitable revenue distribution — the backbone of the Premier League’s model — is under threat. The “big six” are likely to push for more, arguing they generate more interest, more global eyeballs, more cash.

And if the answer is no?

Don’t be surprised to see the European Super League concept rear its head again. Not as a breakaway — but a transformation. A slow, strategic shift where top clubs devalue domestic leagues in favour of a more lucrative, closed European system. A kind of Champions League+. A Netflix-style, invite only streaming empire for the elite.

Sound far-fetched? Look at Wrexham. A National League club turned global brand via smart content and direct-to-fan engagement. Why wouldn’t Liverpool, Arsenal or Man U want full control over their own broadcast platform — cutting out Sky and BT entirely?


“Why Share the Spoils? The Premier League’s Equal Split Is Under Threat”

In 2023/24, every Premier League club received £86.9 million in guaranteed ‘equal share’ payments — regardless of performance, fanbase size, or global draw.

That means Manchester United, one of the biggest sports brands on the planet, received the same base payout as Luton Town and Sheffield United — two sides who struggled for survival and global relevance.

When United miss out on the Champions League, those lost revenues become even more painful. At some point, clubs will ask: why are we carrying this league on our backs for equal pay?

The threat isn’t subtle. The European Super League may have been shelved temporarily, but the motivations behind it are alive and kicking. Clubs like United, Liverpool, and even Aston Villa now have clear financial incentives to push for a revenue model that rewards them more and supports fewer.

Every Premier League club received £86.9m in guaranteed equal share payments in 2023/24 (£55m from International)

Man United will lose more than £20m in merit payments in the 2024/25 season as the attempt to transition under Amorim, and whilst their facilities fee (based on number of live TV matches) will be higher than the likes of Brentford and Bournemouth they will in all likelihood earn less in total from the Premier League TV deal.

Sir Jim Ratcliffe is looking for pennies down the back of the sofa when there are potentially £millions staring him in the face.

An alliance of the Premier League power houses could smash the current distribution model in the next round of broadcast negotiations. Meritocracy is all well and good until clubs stop performing – why take the risk of relying on League positions when they could just hoover up a bigger share of the current equal share (especially the International revenue) which they could argue they deserve.

Conclusion: A League at a Crossroads

The Premier League is still an incredible product. But is the magic fading. This season — flat, predictable, often lifeless — could be a warning shot.

Fans are switching off. Clubs are re-prioritising. Revenues are being questioned. And the power clubs are restless.

If the league doesn’t adapt — doesn’t find a way to restore jeopardy, tighten competition, and give meaning to every matchday — then it risks becoming a stepping stone to bigger stages. Or worse, an outdated model.

Because when the biggest clubs no longer see the Premier League as the ultimate prize… why should anyone else?

Liverpool v Arsenal

Hard to have much confidence in any tips for this match. Probably more in this for Arsenal than Liverpool, but the Champions will want to put on a performance at Anfield.

Going to keep things simple here and not get heavily involved pre-match.

Recommended Bets:

Odegaard (13/10), van Dijk (11/4) – 1+ Shot on Target

Bradley (7/2), Partey (11/4) – to be carded

Over 9.5 corners (4/5)

£10 Singles on all selections for a total stake of £50

SUMMARY:

One of those days today. 2 of the 5 tips land giving a small profit of £18.

More hard luck stories really, van Dijk header on target didn’t count due to a foul and Thomas Partey committed multiple fouls which on any other day would have yielded a yellow card.

Must win for Forest..

It’s all or nothing for Nottingham Forest in this local derby against relegated Leicester.

I think Forest will get the job done, but 4/11 is too short for me.

Recommended Bets:

Leicester Shots 12+ (10/11), Over 10.5 Corners (11/10), Over 3.5 Cards (23/20) – £20 Singles

Player to be Carded:

Sangare (4/1), Dominguez (7/2), Skipp (11/4), Ayew (10/3), Williams (11/2)

£5 Singles

Player Shots on Target:

Elanga (4/6), El Khannouss (13/10), Ayew (13/10), Anderson (6/4)

£5 Singles

Others:

Anderson anytime goal scorer (4/1), Elanga to score or assist (11/10)

£5 Singles

SUMMARY:

Pushing the boat out here with £115 Staked and hopefully the profit train will keep running. Good luck with your bets!

Leicester much improved in the second half, but only mustered 10 match shots, so carnage on the advised bets.

Only 3 winning tips from 14 and a loss of £50

Newcastle v Chelsea

Newcastle have won their last 4 home PL matches, scoring 14 goals in the process and can take a giant stride towards Champions League qualification by beating Chelsea.

Recommended Bets:

Newcastle to win (6/5) – £20 Single

Player to be Carded:

Dan Burn (11/4), Fabian Schar (3/1), Bruno Guimaraes (9/4), Moises Caceido (13/8), Marc Cucurella (15/8)

£5 Singles

Player Shot on Target:

Jacob Murphy (5/6), Sandro Tonali (6/4), Fabian Schar (21/10), Enzo Fernandez (13/10)

£5 Singles

Others:

Newcastle 16+ Match Shots (11/10) – £20 Single

SUMMARY:

11 bets advised for a total stake of £85. Looking forward to this one. Good luck with your bets!

Looked to be cruising at HT. Chelsea down to 10 men and Newcastle on top. Second half has been horrible, just thought the Newcastle Match shots tip would romp home after 9 1st half shots – but now struggling and even the Match result is in doubt.

Frustrating does not do this one justice.

Newcastle stopped playing in the second half, 10 man Chelsea dominated. We ended up 1 shot short on the Newcastle Match shots (managed 9 in 1st half, but somehow just 6 in 2nd half).

Caceido would have got booked in 99% of matches after the volume of fouls committed, the commentators were even joking about it..

We squeak home with a small profit of £15.75 (5/11 Tips came in) but should have been so much better..

Saturday Premier League

The self proclaimed best League in the world can’t afford many more seasons like this one – teams prioritising other competitions and the title and relegation tied up very early.

The 3pm fixture list today looks particularly uninspiring, but we will still try and make a profit!

Player to be Carded:

Garner – Everton (4/1), Morsy – Ipswich (5/2), Andre – Wolves (3/1), Delap – Ipswich (3/1), Pereira – Fulham (13/5), Baleba – Brighton (3/1)

Player Shot on Target:

O’Riley – Brighton (Evens), Sessegnon – Fulham (15/8), Enciso – Ipswich (5/6), Gvardiol – Man City (13/8)

To Score or Assist:

Beto – Everton (21/10), Cunha – Wolves (11/8), Schade – Brentford (Evens), McAtee – Man City (4/5)

£10 Singles on each selection for a total stake of £140 across 14 tips…

Good luck with your bets! (It’s time to light the BBQ)

BBQ was amazing, tips were shocking. Can’t remember such a poor end to a PL season and it’s making it tough to predict outcomes. I will be taking it easy in PL games for the rest of the season.

14 tips and only 3 winners which results in a significant loss of £60.25.

Coventry can take 1st leg honours

Sunderland have literally stopped playing since they secured their place in the play offs. They have lost 5 on the bounce and not even scored a goal in the last 3.

Coventry finished 7 points behind Sunderland, but finished the regular season with an important win against Middlesbrough and I don’t think it is easy for teams to turn on the taps whenever they fancy it.

For that reason, I am siding with Coventry to claim a first leg advantage.

Recommended Bets:

Coventry Match Result (11/10) – £20 Single

Over 2.5 Goals (5/4) – £20 Single

26+ Match Shots (4/5) – £20 Single

Over 10.5 Corners (11/10) – £10 Single

Player Card Markets:

O’Nien (15/8), Hume (13/5), Sheaf (10/3), van Ewijk (11/4) – £10 Singles

Player Shot on Target:

Rudoni (5/6), Roberts (7/5), Sakamoto (15/8) – £10 Singles

SUMMARY:

Total stakes £140. Good luck with your bets!

11 advised bets with 5 winning tips returns a profit of £25.13

Thursday Tips

Keeping it a bit more simple tonight, with 3 Match result tips and then focus on the Man Utd v Bilbao match

Bodo Glimt to beat Spurs (11/8) – £10 Single

Bilbao to beat Man Utd (13/5) – £10 Single

Sheffield United to beat Bristol City (7/5) – £10 Single

Player to be Carded:

Casemiro (2/1), Ugarte (21/10), Mazraoui (4/1) – £10 Singles

Player Shot on Target:

Berenguer (11/10), Casemiro (21/10), Maguire (3/1) – £10 Singles

Other:

Over 2.5 Goals (19/20), Over 9.5 Corners (4/5), Bilbao Match Shots 14+ (11/10) – £20 Singles

SUMMARY:

Big night tonight as I try to get back on track. Staked £150. Good luck with your bets!

United romp home in the end in but were under pressure for 70 minutes and will face Spurs in the Europa League Final.

Sheffield United have one foot in the Championship play off final and look like solid favourites for an immediate return to the Premier League

Advised bets showing a small profit of £28.

PSG over priced against Gunners

PSG have already knocked out Liverpool and Aston Villa and can complete a treble of English clubs by beating Arsenal in Paris tonight.

Arsenal beat a well below par Real Madrid in the Bernabeu, but could struggle to contain the energy and tempo of the Parisiens.

The Gunners will (as always) be almost totally reliant on set pieces and they could cause a shock if their strong defence can keep an unlikely clean sheet. PSG have scored in every home match this season except against Liverpool (which was almost a miracle) and I expect them to score at least once tonight.

Recommended Bets:

PSG to win in 90 mins (6/5) – £20 Single

PSG 16+ Match shots (4/5) – £20 Single

Over 2.5 Match goals (3/4) – £10 Single

Over 10.5 Corners (6/5) – £10 Single

Red Card (7/2) – £5 Single

Player to be Carded:

Partey (23/10), Hakimi (13/5), Lewis-Skelley (11/4), Marquinhos (7/2)

£5 Singles

Player Shot on Target:

Hakimi (6/4), Rice (9/5), Mendes (5/2), Marquinhos (4/1)

£5 Singles

SUMMARY:

£105 Staked. Good luck with your bets!

Blistering start from Arsenal. Martin Keown already given Donnarumma Man of the match in the first 10 minutes, but still 0-0.

Half Time and it’s 1-0 to PSG. Arsenal have been surprisingly good and have caused PSG problems (mainly from long throws). The Gunners will have to go for it in the second half and commit more bodies forward.

Not looking great on the advised bets so far, but expecting things to open up a bit more in the second half.

PSG deservedly defeated a one dimensional Arsenal side and will grace the Champions League Final.

Arsenal did manage to disrupt PSG but their hopes were dashed when Saka missed a golden chance to level the tie 2-2 on the night.

Still struggling with the advised bets, with only 4/13 winning tonight.

Staked £105, Returns £92.75 for a loss of £12.25

Inter v Barcelona

Not had much time to research the game tonight, but a few advised bets

Player to be Carded:

Barella (3/1), Bastoni (7/2), Bisseck (4/1), Dimarco (4/1)

£5 Singles

Player Shot on Target

Dimarco (13/10), Barella (2/1), de Jong (3/1)

£5 Singles

Other:

Corners Over 9.5 (3/4), Inter 14+ Shots (10/11), Red Card in match (11/2)

£10 Singles

SUMMARY:

£65 Staked. Looking forward to this one. Good luck with your bets!

Advised bets off the mark with a Barella shot on target, and then Inter take the lead through Martinez (with one hamstring). Game on!

Not sure this ref is going to get his cards out that often tonight (although he might have to later in the game). Dimarco has committed 3 blatant fouls so far, so hopefully he will get a yellow card at some point.

Inter on top as we approach half time, but Barcelona have to improve and definitely not ruling them out – one goal can change everything.

Penalty to Inter! VAR intervenes and awards a penalty for a foul on Martinez. Calhanoglu steps up and scores. 2-0 Inter and now it’s all kicking off!

HALF TIME

2-0 to Inter Milan, a bit of a slow burner, but we have a proper game on now.

Only the Barella shot on target has come in so far, giving a £15 return.

5 Corners and 8 Inter Milan shots so far and with tempers fraying there could be some more yellow cards and hopefully a red in the second half.

2-1 – Eric Garcia halves the deficit with a controlled finish on the volley.

What a save by Inter Keeper Sommer. Barcelona cut Inter apart and Garcia is denied from 6 yards out (looking at the replay its virtually an open goal)

Bastoni is rampaging round the pitch fouling and treading on players – but no yellow card forthcoming!

2-2 Barcelona have turned it all around in 15 second half minutes. Olmo with a close range header. What a game!

Penalty given for Barcelona, but looked outside the box? VAR to decide and decides it’s outside the box – free kick no penalty and not even a yellow card?

Not looking like its going to be a good night on the tips, corners have dried up, Inter will be lucky to muster another 1-2 shots and ref is not booking players.. need a dramatic last 15 mins to salvage something here.

Incredible scenes..Raphinha gives Barcelona the lead but Inter equalise with one of the last kicks of the game (Acerbi)

Breathless stuff and we are heading into Extra Time.

Desperate stuff on the tips. Only one winning tip and a £50 loss on advised bets.

2 corners short, Inter 3 shots short and somehow nothing doing on the yellow card front

Leeds Well Equipped for Premier League Step-Up

It took a dramatic injury-time winner from Manor Solomon to secure the Championship title for Leeds United. Despite reaching the magical 100-point mark, they edged Burnley to top spot on goal difference alone.

Since the Championship was rebranded in 2004, only six teams have surpassed the 100-point threshold. Never before, however, has more than one team done it in the same season—until now. Leeds and Burnley both hit the century, with Leeds narrowly claiming the title.

The Centurions Club

  • Reading (2005/06) – 106 points (record)
  • Newcastle (2009/10) – 102 points
  • Leicester (2013/14) – 102 points
  • Burnley (2022/23) – 101 points
  • Leeds & Burnley (2024/25) – 100 points

Of these six, only Burnley have been relegated in the season immediately following their 100-point campaign. This raises the question: Is it getting harder for promoted clubs to bridge the Premier League financial gap, or was Burnley’s 2022/23 failure a product of a weak Championship?

Can Leeds and Burnley Break the Cycle?

Although all three promoted clubs staying up is still statistically more common than all three going down, we’ve now seen back-to-back seasons where all three have been relegated. This could suggest a deeper structural shift in the financial and competitive balance between the top two tiers.

Still, dominant Championship teams tend to hold their own in the Premier League. Of the four previous “centurion” teams mentioned, three survived their first season back. You could also include Wolves (2017/18) and Fulham (2021/22) — both of whom dominated in the Championship and comfortably stayed in the PL.

The xG Case for Leeds

Expected Goals (xG) data strongly supports Leeds’ credentials. By Expected Goal Difference (xGD), Leeds were far ahead of the rest of the league:

  • Leeds xGD: +59.5
  • Burnley xGD: +18.4
  • Plymouth xGD: –43.2 (worst in division)

In fact, Leeds’ xGD is the highest of any automatically promoted team since the stat has been available (2018–19). The only other team to come close was Fulham 2021/22 with +51.8 — a team that went on to thrive in the Premier League.

Burnley, by contrast, have achieved promotion with the lowest xGD of any automatic promotion side in the last six seasons. Their pragmatic, defensive style under Scott Parker has been effective, but the underlying numbers suggest Leeds are far more likely to succeed at the next level.

Leeds: Best Ever Championship Team by the Numbers?

Statistically, you could make a case for this Leeds side being the most dominant team ever promoted to the Premier League. That’s a bold claim when you consider the legendary Reading 106-point side, Newcastle and Leicester’s dominant squads, or Bielsa’s 2019–20 Leeds team.

Whether they’re the best or not is up for debate, but based on the eye test and the analytics, Leeds look well-equipped to handle the step up—and I’d be willing to put money on them staying up next season.

What do you think, are Leeds the best ever team to win the Championship?

(All xG stats used are from the excellent fbref.com)